マルタ・コスチュク — ジェシカ・ペグラ の予想

The key distinction is that pain-free isn’t match-ready. Marta Kostyuk says she is still short of practice and repetition, and Linda Noskova’s attack on her serve showed how quickly a sharp returner can deny her time to find rhythm. Jessica Pegula’s compact strokes and early contact look well suited to that task.

Pegula’s loss to Coco Gauff was not a collapse from the first ball: she found attacking tennis and played a strong second-set tie-break. Her closing remains unreliable, but the level to take control is there. Kostyuk also faced a very good opponent in Noskova; the difference is that her own competitive rebuild is still unfinished. That makes Pegula to win appealing at 1.588, and the price still works at 1.53.

The caution is real: Pegula said the long Gauff match took a massive amount of energy, and she has had little recent match play. The rest day helps, but full recovery is no sure thing; this is an edge in readiness and tactics, not a claim that she has the stamina advantage.